July 31, 2018 Press Release

Statement on Siena Poll

NEW YORK, NY – Cynthia for New York spokeswoman Lauren Hitt released the following statement on this morning’s Siena poll. It showed Cynthia gained 10 points from Siena’s first poll in March, while the Governor is down 6 points from that time. This gain occurred despite the fact that the Governor has spent over $5 million to date, and despite the fact that just 33 percent of the poll’s sample was under 55. In the 2016 primary election, 42 percent of New York voters were under 45, and recent elections have shown the portion of the electorate is growing.

 

“Polls clearly aren’t capturing the kind of Democrats who have been turning out to vote in recent primaries. This isn’t your father’s electorate. It’s much younger, and, grandpa, they call themselves progressives, not liberals now.

There’s a reason there’s barely a difference between polls that measure registered Democratic voters and likely Democratic voters in this race, and it’s because, after 2016, pollsters no longer have any idea which voters are ‘likely.’ To date, Cynthia volunteers have knocked on thousands of doors of voters we know to be likely, and nearly 70 percent have committed to voting for Cynthia.

Progressive women are consistently outperforming expectations in Democratic primaries this year because low-turnout elections are decided by who turns out their voters, and the grassroots momentum is surging behind Cynthia. Both NYC-DSA and Indivisible endorsed her early this week, and DSA has already started their door knocking program.

While we would be delighted if the Cuomo campaign used this poll as their model for targeting, it’s clear the Governor knows he’s in a competitive sprint – spending millions of dollars on TV, meeting personally with progressive leaders for hours last Sunday in an attempt to woo their support, and going to ridiculous lengths to fake his grassroots support.”

The poll continued to show Cynthia with a lot of room to grow – even among the disproportionately older voters polled – over the next six weeks, as many voters seriously tune into the race for the first time. Twenty-seven percent did not know enough about Cynthia to judge her favorability, and a statistically significant plurality said she would be better both at accomplishing a progressive agenda and at reducing corruption – a figure which is sure to only grow as the Crystal Run revelations continue to unfold.

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